Cardano has already recorded considerable ecosystem growth, with nearly 1000 projects building on Cardano so far.
ADA prices are sliding back towards a dollar, putting more holders in the red as gains are eroded.
As Cardano (ADA) prices fall back towards the psychological one dollar level, more and more investors are finding themselves with unrealized losses by holding on to the digital asset.
Cardano’s ADA token has had a bearish week. The price has fallen 11.4% since Monday resulting in more holders being in the red. More significantly, ADA is now 64.7% below its September 2 all-time high of $3.09 and is in danger of falling below a dollar over the next few days should the trend continue.
According to IntoTheBlock’s “in/out of the money” indicator, more than two-thirds, or 67% of ADA holders, are underwater. A quarter of Cardano investors are in the green, and 9% of them are at a breakeven point.
The indicator identifies the average cost at which the tokens were purchased and compares it to the current price, which was $1.09 at the time of writing.
The analytics provider reported that 3.41 million ADA addresses are in the red compared to just 1.25 million in the green.
A related metric is the amount of time the token has been held. The vast majority, or 76% of ADA holders, have held it for between one and 12 months. Just 11% of Cardano investors have held the token for more than a year, and those are the ones that are still in profit.
From a technical standpoint, ADA has turned bearish and could quite quickly revisit its 2022 and yearly low point of around $0.80, which occurred in mid-March. This would plunge even more investors into the red unless they sell at a loss.
The slide in prices could be tied to the network not living up to high expectations set around the launch of smart contracts. In terms of the numbers of decentralized applications (DApps), Cardano is still something of a wasteland with DeFi Llama reporting that there are just ten DeFi protocols running on the network with a combined total value locked of around $233 million.
Cardano co-founder Charles Hoskinson however believes that many Cardano dApps are waiting for the Vasil hard fork in June to launch. The “Basho” phase of the Cardano upgrade roadmap will focus on scalability and smart contracts with new technology called Hydra to boost network throughput even further.
Related: Cardano Foundation and the University of Zurich expand academic blockchain research
In terms of other fundamenta Cardano is looking relatively strong. Network demand surged to record capacity earlier this year when the much-hyped SundaeSwap decentralized exchange was launched.
Santiment reported that Cardano was the most developed crypto project on GitHub in 2021, and Cardano NFT bonds were unveiled this week, providing another investment vehicle on the network.
However, unless there is a significant turnaround in trading sentiment, the ADA selloff may start to accelerate, putting more holders deeper underwater.
Cardano Foundation, the corporate arm and legal custodian of the Cardano blockchain, has been very active in promoting the proof-of-stake network globally. This has now earned them special recognition as one of the top-performing blockchain projects across the world.
BTC and altcoins are dropping to retest lower support levels and bulls have yet to buy into the current dip.
Bitcoin (BTC) has been stuck between $45,400 and $47,500 for the past two days, indicating a tough tussle between the buyers and sellers as both attempt to establish control over the trend.
Data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode showed that 100,000 Bitcoin left exchanges in March. These large quantities of withdrawals have only happened twice in the history of Bitcoin with the largest being in March 2020. However, this does not mean the price will rally immediately. In 2020, the momentum picked up only by the fourth quarter of the year.
For the near term, analysts remain divided with some expecting Bitcoin to drop to $44,800 or even to $43,000 while others anticipate a rally to the psychological level at $50,000.
As the crypto markets mature, they continue to attract new investors. A report by Gemini crypto exchange highlighted that the number of users who purchased their first cryptocurrency in 2021 soared by more than 50% in India, Brazil and Hong Kong. Even Latin America, Asia Pacific, the United States and Europe witnessed over 40% more new users who started investing in 2021.
Could Bitcoin and altcoins bounce off their support and extend the recovery? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
The long wick on the candlestick of the past two days suggests that bears are selling near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ($48,266). A minor positive has been that the bulls have not allowed Bitcoin to break below the important support at $45,400.
However, this tight-range trading is unlikely to continue for long. If the price breaks below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($44,467), the BTC/USDT pair could drop to the 50-day SMA ($41,689). Such a move could invalidate the short-term bullish setup.
Conversely, if the price rises from the current level or the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that traders continue to buy on dips. That could enhance the prospects of a break above the 200-day SMA. If that happens, the pair could rally to $52,000.
Ether (ETH) broke and closed above the 200-day SMA ($3,487) on April 3 but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels. This suggests that the bears are trying to pull the price lower and trap the aggressive bulls.
If the price breaks below $3,411, the bears will try to pull the ETH/USDT pair to the 20-day EMA ($3,197). This is an important level for the bulls to defend if they want the positive momentum to remain intact.
If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, the buyers will again try to thrust and sustain the price above the 200-day SMA. If they manage to do that, the pair could rally to $4,000.
On the other hand, if the 20-day EMA support gives way, the selling could intensify and the pair may drop to the 50-day SMA ($2,895).
BNB has been trading close to the $445 level for the past few days. Although the bulls pushed the price above this level repeatedly, they could not sustain the higher levels and challenge the 200-day SMA ($467). This indicates that demand dries up at higher levels.
The bears will now try to pull the price to the 20-day EMA ($421), which is an important support to watch out for. If the price rebounds off this level, the buyers will make one more attempt to clear the overhead hurdle and push the BNB/USDT pair to $500.
Alternatively, if the price breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the short-term traders may be booking profits. That could pull the price to the 50-day SMA. A break below this support will suggest that the break above $445 may have been a bull trap.
Solana’s (SOL) recovery stalled just below the 200-day SMA ($150). This suggests that higher levels are attracting selling by the bears. The bears will now try to pull the price to the breakout level at $122.
If the price rebounds off $122, the bulls will make another attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at the 200-day SMA. If they succeed, the SOL/USDT pair could rally toward the psychological level at $200. The rising 20-day EMA ($111) and the relative strength index (RSI) near the overbought zone indicate advantage to buyers.
Contrary to this assumption, if bears sink the price below $122, the pair could drop to the 20-day EMA. This is an important support to keep an eye on because a break below it could result in a decline to the 50-day SMA ($96).
The bulls attempted to push Ripple (XRP) above the overhead resistance at $0.86 but the bears did not budge. The failure to rise above $0.86 may attract profit-booking from short-term traders, which could sink the price to the 50-day SMA ($0.78).
If the price once again bounces off the 50-day SMA, it will suggest that bulls are accumulating on dips. That could keep the XRP/USDT pair stuck between the 50-day SMA and the 200-day SMA ($0.89) for a few days.
The flattish 20-day EMA ($0.82) and the RSI near the midpoint also suggest a consolidation in the near term.
If bears pull the price below the 50-day SMA, the pair could plummet to $0.70. Alternatively, if buyers drive the price above the 200-day SMA, the pair could rally to the psychological level at $1.
Cardano (ADA) turned up on April 1 and has reached the overhead resistance at $1.26 where the bulls are likely to encounter strong resistance from the bears.
The upsloping 20-day EMA ($1.08) and the RSI near the overbought zone indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If bulls push the price above $1.26, the ADA/USDT pair could rally to the 200-day SMA ($1.48) and then to $1.63.
Conversely, if the price once again turns down from the overhead resistance, the pair could drop to the 20-day EMA. A break and close below this support could pull the price down to the psychological level at $1.
Terra’s LUNA token broke out of the overhead resistance at $111 on April 2 and made a new all-time high at $118 on April 3. This suggests that the bulls are in the driver’s seat.
However, the negative divergence on the RSI warns that the bullish momentum may be weakening and the LUNA/USDT pair could witness a minor correction or consolidation.
If the price slips below the 20-day EMA ($100), traders who may have bought at lower levels could book profits. That could pull the price down to the 50-day SMA ($84).
Conversely, if the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bulls continue to defend the level aggressively. The buyers will then try to push the pair above $118. If they succeed, the pair could rise to $125 and later march toward $150.
Related: Neutrino Dollar breaks peg, falls to $0.82 amid WAVES price ‘manipulation’ accusations
Avalanche (AVAX) repeatedly broke above the overhead resistance at $98 in the past few days but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels. This indicates that bears are defending the level with vigor.
The bears will now try to pull the price to the 20-day EMA ($89). This is an important level to watch out for because a strong rebound off it will suggest that the sentiment remains bullish and traders are buying on dips.
That could increase the possibility of a break and close above the $98 to $100 resistance zone. If that happens, the AVAX/USDT pair could rally to $120.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price continues lower and breaks below the 20-day EMA, the next stop could be the 50-day SMA ($82). The pair could then extend its range-bound action for a few more days.
Polkadot (DOT) broke and closed above the overhead resistance at $23 on April 3 but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels. This suggests that the bears have not yet given up and are selling on every rise.
The bears are trying to sustain the price below $23 and trap the aggressive bulls who may have gone long on a breakout above the resistance. The critical level to watch on the downside is the 20-day EMA ($21).
If this support cracks, the DOT/USDT pair could drop to $19. If the price rebounds off this level, the DOT/USDT pair could remain range-bound between $19 and $23 for a few days.
Conversely, if the price turns up from the current level and breaks above $24, the pair could rally to the 200-day SMA ($29).
Dogecoin (DOGE) rebounded off the 20-day EMA ($0.13) on April 3, indicating that the bulls continue to defend this level aggressively. The rising 20-day EMA and the RSI in the positive zone indicate an advantage to buyers.
The buying continued on April 4 and the bulls attempted to resume the up-move toward the overhead resistance zone between $0.17 and the 200-day SMA ($0.18) but the long wick on the candlestick suggests that bears are selling at higher levels.
If the price continues lower and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the DOGE/USDT pair could remain range-bound between $0.10 and $0.17 for a few more days.
The bulls will have to propel and sustain the price above the 200-day SMA to signal a potential change in trend.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.
After a slow start since the incorporation of smart contracts on Cardano, the network has come alive in recent months. Since January 1, Cardano’s…
Bulls set their targets on new highs now that the brief consolidation phase in BTC and altcoins appears to have ended.
Bitcoin (BTC) has clawed back much of the losses that took place in January and now the focus of traders shifts to April, which has historically been a strong month for the cryptocurrency. According to Coinglass data, Bitcoin has closed April in the red on onlthree occasions and the worst monthly loss was a 3.46% drop in 2015.
Although history favors the bulls, the Whale Shadows indicator has noticed that more than 11,000 Bitcoin has left a wallet in which it had been lying dormant for seven to ten years. The movement of similar-sized quantities from dormant accounts has generally resulted in a major top, according to independent market analyst Phillip Swift.
Along with keeping an eye on the crypto markets, traders should also track the performance of the U.S. stock markets for clues because Bitcoin has been closely correlated to the equity markets for the past several weeks.
Could bulls clear the overhead hurdle in Bitcoin and select altcoins and extend the strong recovery from the lows? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin turned down from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ($48,291) on March 29 and dipped to the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($43,935) on April 1. The long tail on April 1’s candlestick suggests that buyers are accumulating on dips.
The bulls will make another attempt to push the price above the 200-day SMA. If they manage to do that, the BTC/USDT pair could rally to $52,000 where the bears may again mount a strong resistance.
Alternatively, if the price once again turns down from the 200-day SMA, it will suggest that bears have erected a strong barrier at this level. The pair could thereafter consolidate between the 20-day EMA and the 200-day SMA for a few days.
A break and close below the 20-day EMA will suggest that the bullish momentum has weakened. That could result in a decline to the 50-day SMA ($41,461).
Ether (ETH) turned down from the 200-day SMA ($3,488) on March 29 but the shallow correction and the sharp recovery suggest strong demand at lower levels.
The rising 20-day EMA ($3,098) and the relative strength index (RSI) near the overbought zone indicate that bulls are in control.
If buyers propel the price above the 200-day SMA, the bullish momentum could pick up further and the ETH/USDT pair could rally to the psychological level at $4,000.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price once again turns down from the overhead resistance, it will suggest that bears are unwilling to relent. The bears will then try to pull the pair below the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the pair could drop to the 50-day SMA ($2,860).
BNB broke above the overhead resistance at $445 on March 30 and 31 but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels.
The bears pulled the price to the 20-day EMA ($413) on April 1 but the strong rebound off the level suggests strong buying by the bulls at lower levels.
If bulls push and sustain the price above $445, the BNB/USDT pair could rise to the 200-day SMA ($467) and then make a dash to the psychological level at $500.
This positive view will invalidate in the short term if the price turns down from the current level and plunges below the moving averages. The pair could then remain range-bound between $350 and $445 for a few more days.
Solana (SOL) had been witnessing a tough battle between the bulls and the bears near the critical level at $122. The long wick on the March 31 candlestick indicated selling at higher levels but the bears could not sustain the price below $122 on April 1.
This suggests that the bulls aggressively purchased on the minor dip. The buyers have pushed the price above the overhead resistance at $122, indicating the start of a potential new uptrend.
The SOL/USDT pair could now challenge the 200-day SMA ($150). If bulls overcome this barrier, the next stop could be $163.
Conversely, if the price fails to sustain above $122, it will suggest that the demand dries up at higher levels. The pair could then drop to the 20-day EMA ($103).
Ripple (XRP) formed an inside-day candlestick pattern on March 30, which resolved in favor of the bears on March 31 with a sharp down move. This suggests that the buyers who may have purchased at lower levels closed their positions aggressively.
The 20-day EMA ($0.82) is flattening out and the RSI has dropped close to the midpoint, suggesting that the bullish momentum may be weakening. If the price breaks below the 50-day SMA ($0.78), the XRP/USDT pair could slide to the next support at $0.70.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price rises from the current level, the buyers will try to drive the pair above $0.86 and again challenge the resistance at $0.91. A break and close above this level could open the gates for a possible rally to the psychological level at $1.
Cardano (ADA) turned down from the overhead resistance at $1.26, suggesting that the bears are defending the level with vigor. The price could now drop to the 20-day EMA ($1.05), which is an important level to keep an eye on.
If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, the buyers will make one more attempt to push the ADA/USDT pair above $1.26. If they manage to do that, the pair will complete an inverse head and shoulders pattern. This setup will suggest that the pair may have bottomed out.
The pair could then rally to the overhead resistance zone between the 200-day SMA ($1.50) and $1.63 where the bears may mount a strong resistance. This bullish view will be negated in the short term if the price breaks and sustains below the 50-day SMA ($0.95).
Terra’s LUNA token turned down after hitting a new all-time high on March 30, indicating that the bears are attempting to stall the uptrend. However, a minor positive is that the bulls have not allowed the price to break below $96. This suggests that the bulls are attempting to flip this level into support.
The rising 20-day EMA ($95) suggests advantage to buyers but the negative divergence on the RSI indicates that the bullish momentum could be weakening. If buyers push the price above $111, the uptrend could resume. The LUNA/USDT pair could then rally to $125.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the traders are aggressively booking profits. The pair could then drop to the 50-day SMA ($80).
Related: ApeCoin risks another massive selloff as APE drops 70% in two weeks — Here’s why
Avalanche (AVAX) broke above the overhead resistance at $98 on March 30 and 31 but could not sustain the higher levels. This may have invited profit-booking by the short-term traders.
Although the bears pulled the price to the 20-day EMA ($87), the long tail on the day’s candlestick suggests strong demand at lower levels. The bulls are attempting to drive and sustain the price above the overhead zone between $98 and $100.
If they manage to do that, the AVAX/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally to $120. Conversely, if the price once again turns down from the overhead resistance, it will suggest strong selling at higher levels. That could pull the price to the moving averages.
The failure to break above the $23 resistance may have attracted profit-booking by the short-term traders in Polkadot (DOT). That pulled the price down to the 20-day EMA ($20) on April 1.
The strong rebound off the 20-day EMA suggests buying on dips. The bulls will now make another attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at $23. If they succeed, the DOT/USDT pair could start a new uptrend and the price could rally to the 200-day SMA ($29).
Alternatively, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bullish momentum may have weakened. That could pull the price down to $19 and if this level gives way, the next stop could be $16.
Dogecoin (DOGE) turned down from $0.15 on March 28 and dropped to the moving averages. This is an important support for the buyers to defend if they want the bullish sentiment to remain intact.
If the price rebounds off the current level with strength, the bulls will attempt to push the DOGE/USDT pair above $0.15. If they succeed, the pair could rally to the overhead resistance at $0.17. The marginally rising 20-day EMA ($0.13) and the RSI in the positive territory indicate a minor advantage to buyers.
This positive view will invalidate in the short term if bears sink and sustain the price below the moving averages. Such a move could open the doors for a possible drop to the critical support zone at $0.12 to $0.10.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.