- Litecoin rallied while Bitcoin slumped but faced resistance near $110.
- Market indicators suggest the potential for an uptrend, but Litecoin struggles against Bitcoin.
Litecoin (LTC) has exhibited a remarkable performance, rallying while Bitcoin (BTC) prices experienced a slump. This significant movement sparked optimism among investors regarding the initiation of an uptrend.
Analyzing the High Time Frame (HTF) price action, LTC showcased promising signs of a potential uptrend. The breakout past the Q4 2023 range highs at $79.5 flipped the D3 structure bullishly. Additionally, technical indicators on the 3-day chart reflected positivity, with notable increases in trading volume compared to the previous year. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) also indicated strength from bulls in March, demonstrating substantial capital flow into the LTC market.
Reassuringly, the $80 level was tested as support in early March, with a bullish defense indicating strong buyer sentiment. A move past $115 would establish a bullish market structure on the 1-week chart, potentially marking a significant turning point for LTC.
Comparison with Bitcoin
Despite Litecoin’s bullish structure against the US dollar (USDT), it has been experiencing a severe downtrend against Bitcoin since early 2023. The Fibonacci levels underscore further expected losses for LTC against BTC, highlighting the substantial outperformance of Bitcoin over Litecoin during this period.
This discrepancy reinforces the argument that Litecoin, often considered a legacy token, has struggled to keep pace with newer digital assets. However, while LTC may face challenges against Bitcoin, its recent uptrend against the USDT indicates potential investor opportunities.
Santiment metrics provide additional insights into Litecoin’s market dynamics. A decline in the mean dollar invested age accompanied LTC’s price ascent, indicating older coins re-entering circulation, a bullish sign. Notably, heightened transaction volume and younger average investments suggest increased whale activity, with large transactions peaking in March 2024. However, profit-taking among whales has since subsided, potentially signaling a loss of interest and a looming correction in LTC’s price.
Additionally, the mean dollar invested age (MDIA) witnessed a significant decline over the past month as LTC prices surged, signaling a bullish trend. Historically, such declines have coincided with uptrends in Litecoin’s price, suggesting renewed interest and activity within the LTC market.
Spot Litecoin ETF Approval Prospects
Speculation surrounding the approval of a Spot Litecoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) adds another layer of complexity to Litecoin’s future trajectory. Crypto expert Scott Melker’s discussion on the likelihood of approval underscores the potential impact of regulatory decisions on LTC’s price movement.
Is This Throwback Coin Next in Line For a Spot ETF Approval!? – Looking at Litecoin $LTC | The Alpha Show @litecoin @joevezz https://t.co/pxVSftQNMQ
— The Wolf Of All Streets (@scottmelker) April 3, 2024
Despite bullish sentiment among market analysts, LTC’s rally faces resistance as it approaches the $150 mark. IntoTheBlock’s data reveals a substantial number of LTC holders clustered around this level, potentially leading to significant selling pressure. Investors who acquired LTC in 2021 may seek to capitalize on profits, posing a challenge for further price appreciation.
$LTC is currently one of the select few assets in the top 100 that's in the green today, showing strong performance ever since it was labeled a commodity by the CFTC. This move has led to 75% of $LTC holders now being in profit.
Looking forward, we're eyeing a notable on-chain… pic.twitter.com/rkGaOSCHkB
— IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) April 2, 2024
Litecoin’s recent performance against Bitcoin and the US dollar has sparked optimism among investors, with signs pointing towards a potential uptrend. Despite facing challenges in its comparison with Bitcoin, Litecoin’s resilience and positive metrics suggest a promising outlook for the digital asset.
